产品内分工、危机冲击与全球贸易

Internal Distribution of Products,Crisis Collision and Global Trade

当前,世界经济危机和复苏造成的全球贸易大幅波动备受关注,而产品内分工可以为分析这一现象的深层次成因提供一种有效的研究视角。实体经济和货币经济通过货币循环相互作用,产品内分工下的不同经济部门通过货物循环相互作用,而货币和货物两种循环的融合,使得一个初始的外生金融冲击通过全球价值链进行传播并形成"回荡"效应,进而演化为往复循环并不断"放大"的内生性冲击,其最终结果是造成全球贸易大幅波动。

At present,the huge volatility of the global trade caused by the world economic crisis and its recovery is attracting great concerns,whereas the internal distribution of the products can provide a very effective research perspective for analyzing the deeper causes of this phenomenon.The real economy and the monetary economy interact by way of monetary cycling,the different economic departments under internal distribution of the products interact by way of goods cycling,whereas the fusion of monetary cycling and goods cycling make an initial exogenous financial collision spread by way of global value chain and form 'echoed' effect,and further evolve into reciprocating and continuous 'amplifying' endogenous collision,leading to the ultimate result that the global trade volatiles greatly.