新疆库车县经济发展影响因素的定量分析

Quantitative Analysis on the Factors Influencing the Economic Development of Kuqa County in Xinjiang

选取反映人类社会经济活动的国内生产总值、第一产业产值、第二产业产值、第三产业产值、工业产值、投资总额、新增固定资产投资等影响因子的相对指标为分析因子,利用多元线性回归分析法,SPSS统计软件为工具,定量分析1999～2009年各影响因子对新疆库车县经济发展的影响。结果表明,近10年库车县经济发展过程中第二、三产业对经济发展的影响显著,工业的影响次之;其他因素的影响不显著,贡献率不大。提出了库车县经济发展的对策与建议。

Select the factors influencing to socio-economic activities such as GDP,the first production value,the second production value,the third output value,industrial output value,the total investment,new investment in fixed assets,using multivariate linear regression analysis and SPSS statistical software,the effects of each factor on the Kuqa County＇s economic development from 1999 to 2009 were analyzed.The results show that,over the past 10 years,the process of economic development in Kuqa County,the second and third industries have a significant impact on economic development,secondly the impact of industry.The other factors were not significant.Fmally the countermeasures and suggestions for Kuqa County＇s economic development were put forward.