农产品对外贸易促进农民增收的区域差异——基于中国省际面板数据的实证分析

THE REGIONAL DIFFERENCES IN FOREIGN TRADE OF AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS TO PROMOTE THE FARMER’S INCOME

运用中国1999—2008年29个省(直辖市、自治区)的面板数据,实证了中国农产品对外贸易促进农民增收的区域差异。结果显示:东、中部地区农产品进、出口依存度与农民收入增长正相关,且中部地区要明显强于东部地区;西部地区农产品进、出口依存度与农民收入增长负相关。在对实证结果进行讨论和解释的基础上,就中国农产品对外贸易促进农民收入增长提出了政策建议。

This paper aims to demonstrate the relationship of regional differences between the foreign trade of agricultural products and the growth of farmer income by using the panel data of 29 provinces （including municipalities, autonomous regions） from 1999 to 2008 in China. The relevant tests indicate that that dependence on agricultural imports and exports in the Eastern and Middle regions definitely have positive effects on the growth of farmer income while the Western region has a negative effect, and the effect on the Middle Region was much stronger than the Eastern Region. Based on a brief analysis of the results, the paper advances some policy proposals to promote the growth of farmer income through trading agricultural products with other countries.