上海电网中长期负荷预测

Load Forecasting of Medium-term and Long-term for Shanghai Grid

介绍了上海电网概况,分析了网供负荷特性,以及近期影响上海地区负荷的因素,并使用不同的预测方法给出了中长期负荷和用电量的方案.最后针对上海地区的特点,提出了提高负荷预测准确性和应对本地区电网严峻形势的对策和建议.

An overview of Shanghai grid is presented and the load characteristics are analyzed.The factors that have recently influenced Shanghai are mainly analyzed.Various factors are taken into account in using different forecast methods,a scheme of recent load and power consumption is proposed.Finally,considering features of Shanghai region,some measures and suggestions are proposed to improve the accuracy of load forecast and deal with difficult situations of the region grid.