中国对外贸易竞争力与后危机时代的战略选择

China’s Competitiveness of Foreign Trade and Strategies after Financial Crisis

本文使用集成多向的数据包络分析(DEA)的视窗分析方法,根据世界16个主要国家或地区2005-2007年的货物和服务贸易进出口数据开展计量分析,把这些国家的历年数据采用非纵向集成SE-DEA方法计算并求出其投入冗余和产出不足,从各个方面定量分析各国的对外贸易竞争力状况,然后提出了相应的对策建议。

Using the multi-directional integration of data envelopment analysis （DEA） window analysis methods, according to the data of import and export trade in goods and services from 2005 to 2007 of 16 major countries or regions in the world, quantitative analysis is carried out. Non-vertical integration of super-efficiency DEA （SE-DEA） is employed to calculate the historical data of these countries to obtain their input redundancies and output shortages, from which all aspects of the competitiveness of foreign trade of these countries are quantitatively analyzed. The empirical analysis concludes that the promotion of commercial service exports can enhance China＇ s competitiveness of foreign trade.