我国行政区划变迁的动力因素实证分析

Analysis of Driving Factors of the Changes of Chinese Administrative Division

利用行政区划的结构及行政区划变迁内外的影响因素数据,验证了中国行政区划结构变迁的动力因素。以行政区划变迁实证分析验证了林毅夫对中国制度变迁的理论假说:就诱致性变迁和强制性变迁共同作用下的制度变迁路径来讲,地域行政管理制度的变迁更多的体现为诱致性制度变迁辅以强制性制度变迁,所以中国的行政区划变迁可能更多沿着"从下至上"的路径进行。

Using administrative division structure and influence factors data,this paper tests driving factors of Chinese administrative division structure changes.The analysis of administrative division structure reform confirms theoretical hypothesis of administrative division structure reform proposed by Lin Yifu： from system reform path under the action of the induced reform and the mandatory reform,administrative system reform is induced and mandatory.Chinese administrative division reform may be more along the path from the bottom to the top.