柳杉人工林蓄积量预测模型及其在资源管理中应用研究

Study on the Prediction Model of Cryptomeria fortunei Plantation Stocking and Its Application to the Management

根据柳杉人工林种群资源的调查资料， 运用数理统计方法， 建立了柳杉人工林蓄积量预测的 Ｌｏｇｉｓｔｉｃ模型。经检验拟合精度较高， 据此对柳杉资源动态进行预报， 并确定了柳杉人工林数量成熟龄为２１ａ。

Based on the survey data of population resources of Cryptomeria fortunei plantations,the Logistic model of predicting C.fortunei Plantation stocking was established by applying the mathematical statistics method.Through the inspection the fitting precision of the model is relatively high,which was used to predict the resource dynamics of C.fortunei and it was determined that the quantitative mature age of C.fortunei plantations was twelve years.