出口收汇风险的模糊综合评价研究

Fuzzy comprehensive evaluation of export exchange

归纳总结了在传统的国际结算方式下,出口企业可能面临的各类收汇风险。先对出口收汇风险进行定性分析,建立风险评价指标体系,再对出口企业收汇风险进行定量分析,划分风险指标的风险等级,最后利用模糊综合评价模型,评估在各种风险共同作用下的出口企业可能面临的收汇风险等级。旨在从出口企业的角度出发,将其收汇风险进行量化,为出口企业衡量收汇风险提供可供参考的模型。

This paper summarizes the various risks of export earnings for exporters,in the traditional manner for international settlements.First,a qualitative analysis for risks of export earnings is made and a risk evaluation index system is built.Secondly,a quantitative analysis for that and the levels of risk indicators is put forward.Finally,under the joint actions of various risks,fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model is used to evaluate the risk level of export earnings for exporters.The paper attempts to quantize risks of export earnings from the view of exporters,and provides a reliable model for reference.