后危机时代世界炼油工业面临的挑战和机遇

Challenges and opportunities faced by world petroleum refining industry in post-crisis times

介绍了2008年国际金融危机对世界炼油工业带来的各种影响,分析了在后危机时代世界炼油工业面临的各种机遇与挑战。挑战:(1)炼油能力过剩增加;(2)国际油价走高;(3)轻重原油价差收窄;(4)汽柴油价格颠倒;(5)炼油工业要为提高汽车燃油效率,增加生物燃料用量和减排CO2付出沉重代价;(6)炼油工程建设项目投资难以大幅度减少。机遇:(1)石油基运输燃料将继续主导世界运输燃料市场,炼油厂仍将是汽油和柴油的主要来源地;(2)轻重原油价差会重新拉大;(3)升级换代炼油技术不断出现,重质劣质渣油深度转化技术取得突破性进展;(4)亚太地区将持续引领全球炼油能力的增长。

The effects of international financial crisis on the world petroleum refining industry were introduced,and the challenges and opportunities faced by the industry were discussed.The challenges were as follows：（1）the surplus refining capacity increased;（2）the petroleum price in international market continued to rise;（3）the price difference between light and heavy oils shortened;（4）the prices for gasoline and diesel oil inversed;（5）the refining industry has to pay rather heavily for improving automobile fuel efficiency,enhancing biofuel consumption and reducing carbon dioxide emission;（6） the investment in refining projects is hard to be decreased.The opportunities were as follows：（1）petroleum-based transportation fuel will still dominate the world fuel market,and the refineries will continue to be the major providers of gasoline and diesel oil;（2）the price difference between gasoline and diesel oil will increase again;（3）the upgrade refining technologies will continue to be created,and the deep conversion technology for heavy and poor quality residua has got a breakthrough progress;（4）Asia Pacific will still keep the leading place in enlarging refining capacity.