义乌区域物流与经济增长关系的实证研究

Empirical Study on the Relationship between Regional Logistics and Economic Growth in Yiwu

通过Granger因果关系法检验1982-2008年间的物流量的因果性表明:义乌现代物流需求与经济增长关系的定性分析结果相一致,即在长期内,义乌市GDP增量每增长1个单位,可以平均带动物流增量增长0.953487个单位。义乌经济的快速增长,既给物流业发展提供广阔市场,也给物流业提出了新的要求。义乌物流业必须加快物流园区建设,完善物流信息网络,改善物流设施和装备条件,加强物流管理和提高物流业的服务效率和运作质量,加快物流人才培养等各方面的工作,实现物流业与义乌经济一起发展壮大。

The author tests the causality of logistic capacity in 1982-2008 by Granger causality and the research shows that the relationship between modem logistic demand and economic growth is congruent in Yiwu by qualitative analysis. Namely, in the long term, when the GDP increases one unit in Yiwu, the incremental logistic capacity will increase 0.953487 units on average. The rapid development of Yiwu economy provides broad market and presents new requests for logistic industry. Therefore, we should quicken the con- struction of logistic park, improve logistic information network, facilities and equipments, increase management, service efficieney and operating quality, quicken talent training, and realize development of Yiwu logistics and economy.