基于Logistic模型的农地流转农户意愿影响因素研究

Study on Influence Factors of Farmer Desire in Farmland Circulation Based on Logistic Model

为了分析影响农户农地流转的因素,为农地流转的定性研究提供量化的依据和支持,采用抽样调查、Logistic模型进行分析。结果表明,农户参与土地流转的意愿是受到非农就业率等多种因素的影响和制约的,农户农地流转意愿的影响因素按贡献率由大到小排序为非农就业率、恩格尔系数、单位面积农业纯收入、交通便捷度、签订流转书面合同比率、农地流转主导因素、家庭最高文化程度、粮食安全保障率、经济发展水平、家庭人口数、农业劳动力人数和被访者年龄。为提高农户参与土地流转的积极性,促进农村土地流转,建议给农民创造更多的就业机会,提高农业比较效益,完善农村基础设施,发挥政府的监督管理和服务职能,加强部分农民的思想改造工作,扩大农民受教育的途径,提高农民文化素质。

The purpose was to analyze the influence factors of farmland circulation to offer the quantization basis and support for qualitative analysis on farmland circulation.Methods of sampling survey and Logistic were employed.The results indicated that the farmer desire of participating in farmland circulation is affected and restricted by many factors.The study proposed that we should create more employment opportunities for farmers,raise benefit of agriculture,enhance the construction of the rural base,strengthen the governmental function of supervision administration and service,enhance the ideological of some farmers,expand the ways to educate farmers and raise cultural qualities of farmers.