广东省能源消费与经济增长关系的实证分析

Guangdong province energy consuming and economy growth relation's domenstrative analysis

本文以广东省1985～2008年能源消费与GDP的数据为基础,运用协整分析方法和Granger因果检验方法对二者之间的关系进行实证分析。研究发现广东省能源消费与GDP在短期内存在波动关系,而从长期来看,它们之间存在着稳定的均衡关系,并且是从能源消费到GDP的单向因果关系。最后,本文就广东省的能源消费以及经济增长提出了相关政策建议。

In this paper,we used the methods of coin-tegration analysis and Granger causality test to test the relationship of Guangdong Province＇s energy consumption and economic growth based on the data from 1985 to 2008.The empirical test showed that although some short-run fluctuation,there is a stable equilibrium relationship between Guangdong Province＇s energy consumption and economic growth in the long run.In addition,we found single-direction causality from energy consumption to economic growth.In conclusion,we put forward some proposals on the energy consumption and economic growth in this region.