改革开放以来甘肃省产业结构效益分析

Analysis on the Industrial Structure Benefit of Gansu Province since the Reform and Opening-up

根据1978～2008年有关甘肃省三次产业的时间序列数据,在产业结构效益分析方法综述的基础上,应用比较劳动生产率、产业结构偏离度和偏离-份额分析模型,从不同角度对改革开放以来甘肃产业结构效益进行了研究。结果表明,甘肃第一、三产业比较劳动生产率较小,而第二产业较大;产业结构偏差系数较大,产业结构与就业结构极不对称;朝阳产业比重较大,对经济增长的贡献较大,但三次产业竞争力都相对较弱,有待进一步提高。

According to the time series data of the three main industries in Gansu Province from 1978 to 2008,the industrial structure benefit of Gansu Province is studied from different perspectives based on the overview of the analysis methods of industrial structure benefits and by applying the analysis models including comparative labor productivity,Industrial structure deviation degree and shift—share model.The results show that,in Gansu Province,the labor productivity is low in the primary and tertiary industries,while that in the secondary industry is high;the industrial structure deviation coefficient in large and the industrial structure is extremely out of proportion to employment proportion;the percentage of the sunrise industries is large and has great contribution to economic growth.However,the competiveness of the three main industries is weak and need further improvement.