战争设计工程中对抗决策网络与黑板机制相结合的方法

Antagonism decision network and blackboard mechanism in war design engineering

战争设计工程是一种面向战争复杂性的分析与设计战争的方法。分析战争设计工程中异质专家研讨的需要,提出基于对抗决策网络与黑板机制有机结合的研讨方法。首先借鉴了黑板机制灵活集成异质专家智慧定性推理的能力,然后将作战效果与对抗性引入到动态贝叶斯网络中,提出对抗决策网络支持对抗策略的定量推理,根据对抗决策网络与黑板机制相关要素的相容性将二者有机结合,提出对抗决策网络黑板机制,并进一步分析对抗决策网络黑板的体系结构。最后以一个简例说明异质专家能够基于对抗决策网络黑板机制展开研讨,对战争系统进行分析与设计。

War design engineering is a method of analyzing and designing war system that faces war complexity.By analyzing the demand of antagonism seminar among heterogeneous experts in war design engineering,the seminar method based on antagonism decision network and blackboard mechanism is proposed.Firstly,the blackboard mechanism has qualitative ratiocination capability by the integration of intelligence of heterogeneous experts.Secondly,effect nodes and antagonism are led to the dynamic Bayesian network to form an antagonism decision network.Then,by analyzing the relationship between the two methods,the antagonism decision network and blackboard mechanism are integrated to propose an antagonism decision network blackboard（ADNB）.And then the architecture of ADNB is analyzed.Finally an example is given to illuminate that experts could analyze and design the war system based on the seminar method.