身份认知与不对称冲突

Perception of Identity and Asymmetric Conflict

不对称是国际关系的常态。在不对称的状态下,不同的理论流派对冲突双方为何爆发冲突这一问题提供了不同的解释路径,但对不对称冲突爆发的具体时机、冲突的形式与强度等细化的因素缺乏相应的研究。作者认为,在不对称状态下,行为体对于身份的认知大体可以分为两类:一类是行为体对于身份的认知大体上符合行为体的真实身份,在此种情况下,行为体之间不易爆发冲突;另一类是行为体对于身份的认知发生错误,这就导致了双方陷入冲突的困境之中,如中越边境冲突中的越南,伊拉克战争中的美国。国际环境的动态性与前瞻性导致了行为体身份认知的易错性与滞后性,身份认知错误是导致行为体过度反应并影响双方冲突具体表现形式的重要因素。

Asymmetry is a normal phenomenon.For the outbreak of conflict between asymmetric sides,different scholars provide different interpretations.Under this asymmetry condition,agent's perception of identity can be divided into two kinds.One is in general accord with the real identity and agents always peaceful,such as the United States and Mexico,the United States and Canada.The other is agent's misperception of identity,and both sides go to battle,Such as Vietnam in the border war between China and Vietnam,and the United States in the Iraq war.