进入WTO前后中国制造业部门结构演变研究——基于制造业部门与工业整体经济增长的灰色关联度分析

Study on the Structural Evolution of China's Manufacturing Sectors before and after China's Entry into WTO

本文利用灰色关联分析方法定量分析了1994～2000年、2001～2008年间中国制造业各部门与工业经济整体增长的关联度,以研究进入WTO前后中国制造业部门结构的演变。研究显示,中国制造业部门结构在进入WTO之后的2001～2008年间较之前的1994～2000年间发生了较大的变化:轻工业在中国制造业的地位日趋下降,中国制造业持续向重化工业和装备制造业为主导转变,且高新技术产业对制造业经济增长的贡献明显上升,中国制造业高新技术特征日益显现。

Using the method of gray relational analysis, the author quantitatively analyses the relation between China＇s manufacturing sectors and the overall industrial growth to examine the structural evolution of manufacturing industry in two periods （1994-2000 and 2001-2008）. Results show that the industrial structure of China＇s manufacturing sectors significantly changed in the later period compared with the former; importance of light industry for China＇s manufacturing sec- tors had declined; the manufacturing industry had continuously transferred from light industry - dominated to heavy- chemical industry dominated; and the contribu- tion of innovative and high - tech sectors to the growth of manufacturing industries had been getting stronger.