我国一次能源供应结构的系统分析

Structure analysis and optimization of China's primary energy supply

从我国能源供求矛盾、环境影响以及能源储量等方面,分析了我国一次能源供应结构的合理与不足,并应用马尔科夫矩阵预测一次能源供应结构,提出加快发展天然气等优质能源的方案,为我国能源结构的调整提供建设性的意见。

From the aspects of the contradiction of energy supply and demand,environmental impact and energy reserves, this paper analyzes the supply structure of China＇s primary energy and points out its rationality and shortcomings. Then, the paper forecasts the future supply structure of China＇s primary energy by using Markov Matrix, and comes up with the program for fastening the development of high quality energy such as natural gas,nuclear energy,etc.,and provides constructive scheme about the adjustment structure of China＇s energy.