摘要
2010年中国宏观经济步入了"高位回稳"、"经济常态化"、"价格偏高"、"结构良性化"的运行轨道。2011年中国宏观经济一方面延续了2010年经济运行的逻辑,另一方面将出现货币政策的全面转向、外部环境的变异以及"十二五"规划的全面启动等新因素,这决定了2011年中国宏观经济将呈现"复杂但却平稳"的态势。本文利用模型对于相关宏观经济指标进行了预测,并提出了相应的政策建议。
In the year 2010, China＇s macro-economy has stepped into an orbit of topping out from a high level, economic normalization; high prices and structure optimization. In the year 2011, on the one hand, China＇s macro-economy will follow the economic operation logic of 2010, while on the other hand the factors such as an overall re-orientation of the monetary policy, the external condition change and the operation of the Twelfth Five -Year Plan have decided that the Chinese macro-economy of 2011 will appear complex yet stable. This paper uses models to forecast China＇s macro-economic index, and puts forward corresponding policy suggestions.
出处
《经济理论与经济管理》
CSSCI
北大核心
2011年第1期5-17,共13页
Economic Theory and Business Management
基金
国家社会科学基金决策咨询项目09GJZ001的资助
关键词
流动性回收
新规划效应
中国宏观经济
liquidity reclamation
effect of the new plan
China＇s macro-economy
