摘要
为了探索火炮维修器材消耗规律,科学地指导火炮维修器材储备和供应,基于灰色预测方法,构建了GM(1,1)预测模型,结合2004—2009年某部火炮保障的应用实例,对其维修器材消耗进行了预测研究。预测结果表明,该模型在实际工作中对火炮维修器材消耗预测具有指导意义。
In order to explore the regular pattern of apparatus consumption for artillery maintenance so as to guide scientifically the storage and supply for future use,the paper established a forecast model of GM(1,1) based on the grey forecast method.And combined with application examples of a certain artillery support during the years from 2004 to 2009,it made the forecast research on the consumption of maintenance apparatus.The research result shows that the model has guidance meaning for consumption forecast of artillery maintenance apparatus in actual work.
出处
《四川兵工学报》
CAS
2011年第1期49-51,共3页
Journal of Sichuan Ordnance
关键词
GM(1
1)模型
消耗
维修器材
forecast model of GM(1
1)
consumption
maintenance apparatus