中国高等教育投入与经济增长协调关系分析

An Analysis of the Co-integration Relationship between Higher Education Input and Economic Growth in China

本文根据中国1994—2009年的年度相关统计数据，运用格兰杰因果检验方法对中国GDP、高等学校经费投入、高等学校专任教师数与高等学校在校生数之间的关系进行了实证分析。研究表明：GDP与高等学校经费投入、高等学校专任教师数与高等学校在校生数之间存在着长期均衡关系，上述四个变量之间互为因果关系；高等学校经费投入的增加对中国经济增长具有较强的正向拉动作用，高等学校专任教师数的变化对经济增长具有较弱的正向拉动作用，高等学校在校生数与经济增长为负相关关系。

Based on the annual economic data of 1994-2009 and with Granger causality tests,this paper analyzes the relationship of China’s GDP,higher education funds,full-time college teachers and the total number of college students.This empirical analysis concludes that there is a long-term equilibrium relationship among the four factors,and the four variables have mutual causality relationships.Besides,the growth in higher education funds has a fairly positive influence on the growth of GDP,the growth in the number of full-time college teachers has a fairly weak influence on the growth of GDP,while the growth in the total number of college students has a negative influence on the growth of GDP.