从中国极端气候事件典型案例看运气学说的科学性

A scientific view on yunqi theory by reviewing the extreme climatic events in China

运气学说的基本目的,是以干支符号作为演绎工具,来推论天象、气候、物候及人体生理病理变化。以中国历史上严重干旱、极端高温、异常暖冬与冷冬等极端气候事件为例,考察运气学说推演与典型灾例的符合度,发现运气学说推演的结果与实际极端气候事件符合度很低,很难得出运气学说具有预测灾害气候的价值。因此,运气学说的科学性就值得进一步深入考察,不能轻易加以肯定。

The theory of yunqi is primarily designed as a tool to predict the impact of celestial movements,climatic changes and environmental phenomena upon disease occurrence and physiological growth of human being.Having reviewed the extreme climatic events happened in the past in China such as severe draught,extreme climatic temperature,extremely cold or warm winters,etc,the researcher finds that when the theory claims to be suffering one,there rarely happened such extreme climatic events in history.It is may be a secure way to set aside the predictions made from the theory of yunqi before further research is conducted.