长三角经济发展与环境质量关系研究

Relationship between Economic Growth and Environment Quality of Yangtze River Delta

基于环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC)理论,根据长三角地区(上海、江苏、浙江)1995—2008年的经济和环境相关数据,对各类典型环境指标与GDP增长的关系进行实证分析研究发现。环境污染与人均GDP的3次曲线比2次曲线的拟合程度更高,人均GDP与废水和废气、固废的3次曲线分别为倒N型、N型与倒N型。随着经济的继续发展,长三角的环境污染还可能进一步恶化。因此,有必要对环境污染控制的投入保持较高水平。

Based on the environmental Kuznets Curve（EKC） theory and the 1995—2008 economic and environmental data of Yangtze River Delta（Shanghai,Zhejiang,Jiangsu Province）,did an empirical analysis of the relationship between Industrial emissions,wastewater,solid waste and GDP growth is presented.The results show that the cubic curve of the GDP growth and the environmental pollution indicators fits a higher degree than the Quadratic curve.With the development of economy,the environmental pollution of this area will get worse.Therefore,it is necessary to keep a high level of input into control of environmental pollution.