多种运输方式对GDP拉动作用分析——以京沪运输通道的面板数据分析为基础

The Pulling of GDP by Different Transportation Modes:A Case Analysis

以京沪运输通道的运输量为基础,分析认为自1995年以来,公路运输对区域GDP增长的拉动作用最大,其次是水运,铁路运输对区域GDP增长有明显的瓶颈作用,推断在十二五期间,铁路将对GDP的增长产生显著的拉动作用。

On the basis of a panel data analysis of the Beijing-Shanghai freight transport channel, the paper finds that, since 1995, highway transport has contributed the greatest to the pulling of the regional GDP, waterway transport comes the second, and railway transport has constituted an obvious bottleneck to the increase of regional GDP. It then argues that the ＂twelfth five＂ period will witness a rapid growth of the railway as a puller of the GDP.