俄美中亚“大博弈”的攻守逆转及地缘政治走向

"Game" Played for Central Asia between Russia and America in Offensive-Defensive Change and Geo-political Development

大国角逐,即"大博弈"是中亚地缘政治的主题之一。2010年,一直被视为俄罗斯"后院"的包括中亚在内的独联体地区,发生了四月政变、七月俄哈白关税联盟,以及独联体九国莫斯科会议,独联体军事一体化也有意由空谈转向实干。这表明:俄美中亚"大博弈"攻守态势的逆转。今后两年可能是新一轮"大博弈"的又一关键时刻,而中亚地缘政治走向却扑朔迷离。

Central -Asian geo-politics is partly featured by ＂Game＂ played by big powers. In 2010, the C.I.S including central Asia known as the ＂backyard＂ of Russia witnessed April Coup, July Russia-Kazakhstan-Belarus Tariff Alliance, C.I.C Nine - State Moscow Meeting and C.I.S military integration moving from talk to act. It indicates ＂Game＂ played by Russia and America in central Asia takes a turn in aggressive-defensive stance. In coming two years, it is another critical moment for a new-round ＂Game＂ when central-Asian geo- politics will be moving for uncertainty and unpredictability.