“潜规则”与中国王朝循环的经济根源——一个交易成本的视角

Economic Origin of Hidden Rules and Dynasty Cycle in China from an Angle of Transaction Cost

文章在交易成本的分析框架内探讨了影响制度变迁的动力和阻力,强调了制度的内生性质,提出了中国传统社会资源约束制约制度变迁的假说,以此来解释中国传统社会流行的"潜规则"现象,并透过该现象来理解中国历史上的王朝循环。对外开放为我们打破恶性循环提供了可能,我国计划经济时代的强制工业化战略对我国目前正在进行的制度变迁影响深远。

In the perspective of transaction cost, this paper analyzes the power and obstacles of institutional change. It emphasizes the endogeneity of institutions and puts forward the hypothesis of resource constraint on institutional change to explain the popular phenomenon of hidden rules in traditional Chinese society and dynasty cycle. Opening-up provides a possibility of breaking the vicious cycle and the mandatory industrialization strategy implemented during the planned economic period has a far-reaching influence on institutional change in China.