中国经济形势总体判断及其宏观走向

The Judgment of Chinese Economic Situation and Its Macroscopic Trend

分析中国现阶段经济形势,形成了五个基本判断:从国际经济发展形势看,"后危机时代"即将过去;从中国经济发展态势看,总体处于健康发展期;从改革进程看,中国进入了"后改革时代";从经济发展阶段看,中国处在"双重并存"阶段;从区域发展看,中国仍处于非平衡时期。未来,中国在经济发展速度、经济发展拉力、经济发展环境、经济发展重点和经济发展热点等五方面会出现一系列新的变化。

This paper makes a systematic analysis to Chinese current economic situation and forms five basic judgments： viewing from the situation of international economic development,＂post-financial-crisis era＂ is about to the end;viewing from the situation of Chinese economic development,it is sustained and healthy;viewing from the reform process,we get into ＂post reforming times＂;viewing from the stage of economic development,China is in the stage of ＂dual coexisting＂;viewing from the domestic area development,we are still in the non-balanced condition.In the future,there will be a series of new changes in the rate,the driving force,the environment,the key and the hot spot of economic development.