摘要
依据行业大类,把上海第三产业内部各行业与经济增长的关系进行深入分析,通过eviews等统计软件对1980~2009近20年的时间序列数据进行实证分析,本文得出了一些重要结论尤其是与传统意义上相抵触的结论。
Based on Johanson CO-integration test,Gra nger causality test and elror correcfion model,this paper undertakesa verification on the relationships between the development of shanghai services and its sub.industries and the economic growthby analyzing the year data from 1980to 2009.The research indicates that the causal relationship between services developmentand the economic growth is different from that between the sub—industries of services and the economic growth due to tlle heterogeneityand complexity of services.Furthermore,seine policy suggestions on promoting services upgrading and developmentare put forward at the end of this paper.
出处
《特区经济》
北大核心
2011年第2期58-59,共2页
Special Zone Economy
关键词
第三产业
协整检验
误差修正模型
services development
economic growth
cau sal relationship