用一种插值方法作短期气候预测的试验

THE STUDY OF SHORT-TERM CLIMATE PREDICTION EXPERI MENTUSING AN INTERPOLATION METHOD

将ｓｈｅｐａｒｄ插值方法运用到短期气候预测中，建立一类非模式预报方法，按照相似原因将产生相似结果的原理来作预报，对云南降水进行了预报试验。结果表明，这种方法与多元回归相比具有良好的预报能力，值得进一步探讨和应用。

In this paper, the Shepard interpolation method is used in short-termclimate prediction. Its principle is that similar cause makes similar result.The method is applied to the precipitation of Yunnan province. The experimentresult shows that the method has more prediction capacity than the multipleregressive model.