三峡水库入库流量短期洪水预报

Short-term flood forecast on inflow to Three Gorges Reservoir

本文对三峡水库入库流量实时短期洪水预报从预报流域站网布设、预报系统构建、水文预报方法选用、实时预报管理等几个方面进行了分析和阐述。并对三峡水库建成以来及2010年几场洪水实时预报成果进行了总结分析。

The real-time short term flood forecast on the inflow to the Three Gorges Reservoir is analyzed and expatiated herein from the aspects such as the layout of the river basin gauging station network for the forecast, the composition of the forecast system, the selection of the hydrological forecasting method, the management of the real-time inflow forecast, etc. Furthermore, the results of the real-time flood forecasts on the floods since the completion of the Three Gorges Project and those occurred in the summer of 2010 are summarized and analyzed as well.