摘要
简述了用单个地震空区分析预报1995 年5 月2 日乌苏南5.8 级地震的过程,并用地震动态空区法对该地震的孕育过程及时、空、强三要素进行了回顾性预测。结果表明:该方法对地震三要素具有一定的预报能力,特别是对发震地点能作较好预测,但只适于作中长期预测。
The processofusing single seism icgap to analyze and predictthe southern Wusu MS5.8 earthquake on May 2,1995 is sim ply described.And the 3 seism ic elem ents oftim e,location and intensity are m ade a retrospective prediction by m eans of dynam ic seism ic gaps.The re- sultshow s thatthis m ethod has certain ability in predicting 3 seism ic elem ents,especially in predicting the location of earthquake occurrence,but it just fit the m edium -term and long- term prediction ofearthquakes.
出处
《内陆地震》
1999年第3期253-257,共5页
Inland Earthquake
关键词
地震空区
孕震过程
地震预报
回顾性预测
Seism ic gap Seism ogenic process Earthquake prediction Retrospective prediction