最优加权组合预测方法在气候预测中的应用研究

The Application of Combined Forecasting Method with Optimal Weight to Climate Prediction

把组合预测的方法引用到夏季降水预测综合集成研究中，讨论了最优加权方法的性质和特点，计算结果表明组合预测可以提高综合预测结果的可靠性和准确率，在气候预测业务与研究中有一定的使用价值。

The combined forecasting method was introduced to the research and application of climate prediction The characteristic of optimal weighted method was discussed The computed result shows that combined forecasting method can improve the reliability and accuracy of forecasting result