农村居民消费与地区经济发展的系统动力学分析

A Study on Rural Resident Consumption and Regional Economy Development Based on System Dynamics

在回顾农村居民消费与地区经济发展的相关研究成果的基础上,分析了农村居民消费与地区经济发展的动态机制,并建立了相应的系统动力学模型,以山东省莱阳市为例,进行仿真分析。仿真分析结果表明,农村居民收入的增加与地区经济的发展存在正向的关联性,通过提高农村居民的收入水平,可以提高地区财政收入,进而促进地区经济发展。因而,农业税收的减免,可以增加农村居民的收入,通过增加储蓄和消费,拉动地区经济的发展。

Based on the reviews of the application of System Dynamics in rural resident consumption and regional economy development,this paper analyzes the dynamic mechanism of rural resident consumption and regional economy,and establishes a model of System Dynamics taking the case of Laiyang City in Shandong Province to make a simulation analysis.The results of simulation analysis indicate that the growth in the income of rural residents has a positive relation with the regional economy development.The growth in the income of rural residents will increase the regional revenue of public finance and then enhance regional economy development.So the reduction and exemption of agricultural taxation will increase the income of rural residents and then raise their savings and consumption,which will push the development of regional economy.