山东省经济发展与环境污染关系研究

THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT AND ENVIRONMENTAL POLLUTION IN SHANDONG PROVINCE

文章在总结国内外学者对EKC曲线研究的基础上,采用山东省1981～2007年的经济和环境数据,通过建立人均实际GDP与污染物排放量之间的对数和多项式模型,具体分析了典型环境指标与经济发展之间的关系。结果表明,山东省在研究时段内(1981～2007),工业废水排放量与人均实际GDP之间呈倒"U"型关系,而SO2排放量、烟尘排放量及工业固体废弃物排放量与人均实际GDP之间呈"三次曲线"关系。

Based on the literature reviews on Environmental Kuznets Curve（EKC） in China and abroad, the paper analyzed the relationship between the economic growth and environmental change ,using the data between 1981 - 2007 in Shandong Province and establishing Logarithmic and Polynomial models between the per capital Real GDP and the pollutions discharge. The result showed that in the study period （1981 - 2007 ） ,the relationship between industrial wastewater emissions and per capita real GDP in Shandong Province was the inverted U - shaped curve, and there were cubic curve relationship between SO2 emissions, dust emissions and industrial solid waste emissions and per capita real GDP.