级差最大的人的全面发展评价模型及省份实证

The Evaluation Model of Human All-Round Development Based on Level Difference Maximization and Its Empirical Study on Provinces

根据"坚持以人为本,树立全面、协调、可持续的发展观,促进经济社会和人的全面发展"的科学发展观的内涵,通过指标的海选、筛选和理性分析构建了人的全面发展综合评价指标体系。论文通过标准离差法、G1法和熵值法3种赋权方法对评价体系赋权,并通过级差最大化求得组合权重,并对我国2006年典型的14个省级行政区人的全面发展状况进行实证分析。本文的创新与特色一是通过国民幸福指数、基尼系数等31个指标建立基于科学发展观的指标体系来反映人与社会和谐、人与自然和谐、人与人和谐。二是在对不同评价得分的处理中,通过使第i个评价对象调整后的得分与所有m个评价对象的新得分的均值的偏离程度最大来确定最终的组合权重;改变了用不同的方法其评价得分截然不同的现象。研究结果表明,影响我国省级行政区的人的全面发展最主要的因素是每万人律师数、人均安全水资源拥有量、农村居民非农业就业比率,而第三产业占GDP比重、出生时的平均预期寿命、三废处理达标率则影响很小。

According to the connotation of insisting on human-oriented,comprehensive,coordinated and sustainable development,this paper constructs the comprehensive human all-round development evaluation index system.It determines the optimal weights of indicators by combining standard deviation method,G1 method and entropy weight method using level difference maximization.The contribution characteristics lie in three aspects.First,having evaluated the social development,ecological environment and human capital,the index system reflects the basic requirements of the harmony between man and nature.Second,using the maximum deviation between the adjusted score of targeted evaluation object and the mean score of m objects to determine the final optimal weight,the method can solve the problem of difference of results caused by different methods.The result reflects that the major factors that affect the evaluation of human all-round development are the number of lawyers per 10 thousand persons,safe water resource per capita,rural employment rate,where the proportion of tertiary industry to GDP,life expectancy at birth,and the success rate of three waste disposal have less effect.