基于探索性分析的炮兵武器系统野战运动速度需求研究

Exploratory Analysis of Cross-country Rate Requirement of Artillery Weapon System

依据现代炮兵射击方式对炮兵武器系统机动性的特殊要求,以探索性分析方法为工具,论证保证自身生存之条件下的野战运动速度数量需求。主要结论是:当执行1次射击任务后被敌发现的概率介于0.4和0.65之间时,炮兵武器系统处于生存的关键期;小于0.4时,野战运动速度的最大需求为9.2km/h;大于0.65时,野战运动速度的最小需求为89km/h,目前牵引火炮、自行火炮和指挥车辆等均不满足这一要求。

Based on the special requirements of modern artillery＇s fire way to the mobility of artillery weapon system,the quantity requirement of cross-country rate is demonstrated on condition of survival in the way of exploratory analysis.The main conclusions are： artillery weapon system is in the deadline when the tallyho probability after its first shot is from 0.4 to 0.65,the maximize requirement of cross-country is 9.2km/h when the probability is smaller than 0.4,while the minimize requirement of cross-country is 89km/h when the probability is greater than 0.65 which is beyond the cross-country rate of towed artillery,self-propelled artillery and command vehicles nowadays,etc.