农村居民收入结构与消费关系的再检验——基于省级面板数据的实证分析

Reevaluation of the relationships between rural residents' income structure and consumption:Based on the empirical analysis of provincial panel data

基于拓展的凯恩斯绝对收入假说理论,运用东、中、西部三个地区31个省份1997—2008年的面板数据,按照农村居民收入来源,实证分析了工资性收入、家庭经营性收入、财产性收入和转移性收入各自对消费支出的影响。研究结果表明:随着农村居民收入结构的改变,工资性收入对消费的影响日益显著,与家庭经营性收入一并成为农村居民消费的双动力,财产性收入和转移性收入对消费的影响虽然有限,但却具有乘数效应;不同地区的收入结构对消费支出的影响存在差异。据此,提出了在不同地区促进农村消费的政策建议。

Based on the extended Keynesian＇s absolute-income hypothesis theory,using the panel data of 31 provinces of China from1997to 2008,this paper empirical analyzes the effects of salary-income,family-operating-income,property income and transfer income on rural residents＇ consumption.The results show that：with the structure changing of rural income,the wage income and the family-operating-income have a kind of dual effect on consumption of rural residents;property and transfer income have limited and multiplier impact on consumption;the income structures have different effects on consumption expenditure in different regions.According to those mentioned above,this paper proposes some policy suggestion to promoting the rural consumption in the different area.