引入风险水平的外贸上市公司财务预警研究

Research on Finance Early Warning of Foreign Trade Listed Company with Risk Level

本文以我国股票市场上因"财务状况异常"而被特别处理的外贸上市公司为研究对象,引入风险水平指标,运用因子分析、Logistic回归分析相结合的方法构建了我国外贸上市公司财务危机发生前三年的预警模型,并检验了该模型的有效性。

With listed foreign trade corporations with ＂ abnormal financial situation＂ as the research object and by introducing several indexes of risk level,and application of factor analysis and Logistic regression analysis,an effective three years before financial crisis early warning model for listed corporations of foreign trade business in our country has been build up.