美国技术壁垒对我国农业出口影响的实证研究

An Empirical Study on the Impact of U.S.Technical Barriers against China's Agricultural Exports

重点研究美国农业技术壁垒对我国农业出口的影响。建立向量自回归模型,通过脉冲响应函数和方差分析得出我国农业出口与国外技术壁垒间的相关关系。模型结果表明,美国农业技术壁垒长期内会对我国农业出口产生负面影响,其对我国农产品出口的影响随时间推移逐渐变小。国外消费者需求与我国农产品出口存在显著关系。

The research takes the agricultural trade between U.S.and China for an example to study the impact of U.S.technical barriers against China＇s agricultural exports.A VAR model is established to analyze the correlation between China＇s agriculture exports and U.S.technical barriers by using the impulse response function and variance decomposition.The results show that in the long run the U.S.technical barrier will have negative impacts on our agricultural exports,but such impacts will gradually become smaller with time.There are significant relations between the foreign demands and China＇s agricultural exports.