劳动力流动、工业化进程对区域经济影响研究——基于面板数据模型的视角

The Impact of Labor Mobility and Industrialization Process on Regional Economic: Based on the Provincial Dynamic Panel Model

运用面板协整模型与面板误差修正模型,研究我国劳动力流动、工业化进程对区域经济的影响。结果表明:从短期看劳动力流动、工业化进程不能有效促进地区经济增长,但从长期看二者对经济增长具有显著促进作用。进一步细分可以发现,劳动力流动客观上拉大了东部、中部地区之间在区域经济发展上的差距,而工业化进程可以使各区域之间的经济走向趋同。

Using the panel cointegration model and panel error correction model,this paper made a study on the impact of the labor mobility and the industrialization process on regional economic.The results show： In the short term,labor mobility and industrialization process can not effectively promote regional economic growth.In the long run,however,both of them play a significant role in promoting economic growth.Further investigation also shows that,while labor mobility widens the gap of regional economic development between the eastern and central regions,industrialization process can narrow the gap among different regions.