摘要
首先计算了已实现波动率和超高频波动率,然后使用ARFIMA(0,d,0)-SKST模型计算了条件波动,最后对条件波动调整后的收益率进行了拟合并计算出了VaR值。实证结果发现,使用高频数据甚至超高频数据测量金融风险的准确性并不比低频数据高很多,如果选用模型恰当,完全能够使用低频数据得到高频数据的精度。
Firstly, this paper calculate the realized volatility and the ultra-high frequency volatility, and then use the ARFIMA (0,d,0)-SKST model to calculate the conditional volatility, finally the author calculates and compare the VAR which was calculated by asset return adjusted by conditional volatility. The empirical results show that the use of high-frequency data and even ultra-high frequency data did not improve the accuracy of measurement of financial risk significantly, if selected sensibly, using low frequency data can also get the precision of high-frequency data, the article finally analyzes the applicability of the high- frequency data.
出处
《山西财经大学学报》
CSSCI
北大核心
2011年第2期30-37,共8页
Journal of Shanxi University of Finance and Economics