外资视角下的产业结构优化分析——以广东省云浮市为例

Industrial Structure Optimization in Foreign Capital View——Case Study of Yunfu,Guangdong

关于FDI对产业结构优化的影响,现应着重从地市级的产业结构调整出发进行研究。对于广东省来说,地区的差异性使得珠江三角洲与东西两翼、粤北山区的经济发展状况非常悬殊,外资引进的数量和质量也是大相径庭。现利用广东省云浮市的相关数据,就其利用外资对产业结构影响的效应进行实证分析。因果关系检验显示,外资工业企业资产与技术进步存在双向因果关系;脉冲分析和方差分解结果反映,从长期来看,云浮市工业企业的技术进步不能过分依赖于外资。对此应采取完善引资政策、建立人力资本的培训教育制度、加强内资企业的吸收和自我创新能力等措施,提升内资企业技术水平,促进地方产业结构的合理化,使得广东省区域经济发展协调化。

On the basis of data of Yunfu,Guang Dong,this paper makes an empirical study of the influence of FDI on Yunfu＇s industrial structure.The result of Granger-causality test is that there are interaction relationships between industrial capital of foreign enterprises and technological progress.But the technological progress of industrial enterprises in Yunfu City can not be too dependent on foreign capital in the long term,as shown in the result of impulse response function and variance decomposition.Then some suggestions are proposed for more effective utilization of FDI.