农村土地流转意愿度模型的构建与应用——以重庆市为例

Construction and Application of Willingness Model on Rural Land Transaction

[目的]构建农村土地流转意愿度模型,分析2007年1月重庆市农村土地流转意愿。[方法]运用经济学理论构建农村土地流转意愿度模型,运用实证调查数据和2005~2009年重庆市统计年鉴数据算出重庆市农村土地流转意愿度,分析农户土地流转的供给意愿。[结果]重庆市农户边际非农经营净收益为每年1 358.21元/人,边际农业经营净收益为每年156.29元/人,边际土地流转净收益为每年65.10元/人;非农经营风险为0.031 2,农业经营风险为0.3523;土地流转意愿度为102.83。[结论]重庆市农户具有强烈的土地流转意愿。

[Objective] The purpose of the paper is to construct the willingness model on rural land transaction,and to analyze the data in January,2007.[Method] The economic theory is applied in building the willingness model on the rural land transaction.Meanwhile,the empirical survey data and the data in Chongqing Statistical Yearbook from 2005-2009 are used to calculate the willingness on rural land transaction in Chongqing City,from which the supply willingness on the rural land transaction is analyzed.[Result] The results show the marginal non-agricultural business net income is 1 358.21yuan one person per year in Chongqing;marginal agricultural business net income is 156.29yuan one person per year;marginal land transaction net income is 65.10yuan one person per year;non-agricultural business risk is 0.0312;agricultural business risk is 0.352 3.The willingness on rural land transaction is 102.83.[Conclusion]It is concluded that the farmers in Chongqing City have a strong willingness on rural land transaction.