摘要
煤炭工业是山西的支柱产业,一直以来以粗放型的模式延续,为了转变这种传统的发展模式,山西实施了煤炭资源整合重组战略.为了研究煤炭资源整合重组对山西省经济发展的影响,从煤炭资源整合重组对山西工业生产总值和全省国民生产总值影响的角度进行了统计分析研究,最后结合玻尔曲线模型,利用最小二乘法原理,分析预测了山西煤炭资源整合重组影响区域经济发展的走势.结果表明,山西省煤炭资源整合重组对区域经济发展具有极大的推动作用,全省国民生产总值累计增长率比煤炭资源整合重组前提高近5个百分点.
Coal mining is the pillar industry of Shanxi Province, and it has developed with the mode of rough increasing economic all the time. In order to change this traditional economic development mode, Shanxi Province has implemented the strategy of integrating and recombining the coal resources. For the purpose of studying integration and restructuring of the coal resources effects on the Shanxi’s economic development, this paper discussed the strategy’s effects on the Shanxi’s Gross National Product and Gross Industrial Product, and the statistics were analyzed and researched. Finally, using the Pearl curve model and least square method, this paper analyzed and forecasted Shanxi’s economic trend under the related strategy about the coal resources. The results show that integration and restructuring of the coal resources has a great role in promoting on regional economic development in Shanxi Province, total GDP growth rate of Shanxi Province is increased by nearly 5 percentages than the former of implementing this strategy.
出处
《矿业工程研究》
2011年第1期71-75,共5页
Mineral Engineering Research
关键词
煤炭资源
整合重组
区域经济
最小二乘法
coal resources
integration and recombination
regional economy
least square method