理想的贸易增长路径和中国的贸易动力转换

An Ideal Trade Growth Channel and China's Trade Impetus Shift

发展中国家存在一条理想的动态贸易增长路径，贸易的增长是分阶段的，在不同阶段推动贸易增长的动力不同，相应的产业结构和国家贸易战略也要随之调整。中国近年的贸易增长处于增长路径的第一阶段，已面临着动力转换的问题，本文分析了中国贸易动力转换所面临的问题及其原因，并提出一些调整方向和措施上的建议。

There exists an ideal and dynamie trade growth channel for developing countries, where trade growth is generally realized by stages. The impetus of trade growth is different at different stages in which both the corresponding industry structure and the country's policy need adjustment. China's trade growth in recent years is in the condition of the first stage, facing a problem of shift. This paper analyzes hoth the problems and causes of China's trade impetus and offers the orientation of adjustment and suggests some measules.