2011国际贸易风险年度报告

Risks in Global Market

2011年1月,日本东京,应届毕业生在等待面试。据日本共同社2月14日消息,2010年日GDP首次被中国赶超。部分人为此惊呼,一些专家冷静认为这是预料之中的事情。对日本而言,加强同中国等新兴市场国家的投资、贸易合作,以提振本国经济,将成为考验其未来发展的重要课题。

The risks in the global market have been changing rapidly.The theme of the world economy in 2010 is not so much 'recovery' as 'adjustment'.Shocked by the global financial crisis,economies began to question and reconstruct the game rules of the global business.This trend may continue and even deepen in 2011.Although the impact of the financial woes may clear away in this year,it is hard for the global economy to go steadily up.The side effects of the crisis are far from negligible and may lead to more uncertainties in some areas,such as Europe and Africa.This report provides a guide to cope with the risks and manipulate the markets.Zhou Mi,an expert from the Ministry of Commerce of China makes an overview on the risks of investing anddoing business in the global market and specifies those in major economies.He argues that the advanced economies will keep fighting for their frustrated financial systems in 2011 and their markets will revive unsteadily.Some developing economies may be the gold mines in the global market in 2011,but risks still exist,apparently or potentially.Exporters and investors will have to shun or tackle these risks so that they can benefit from these markets.A senior manager from Ernst & Young also clarified the changes of customs policies in 2010,especially the revision of the Incoterms.Along with the policy environment analysis by an expert from the Chinese Economic Diplomacy,these will help Chinese investors and exporters to adapt to the shifting rules.