FDI、对外贸易与我国经济增长关系的实证研究

Empirical Research of the Impact of China's Opening on Its Economic Growth

改革开放以来我国经济保持了高速的增长,这是和我国经济制度的变革分不开的,其中FDI、对外贸易对我国经济增长起到了重要影响。本文采用Granger因果关系的检验和Johansen协整检验,分析了我国出口贸易、进口贸易、FDI与我国经济增长之间的因果关系和均衡关系,发现出口贸易、进口贸易、外商直接投资是我国经济增长的Granger原因,它们之间存在着稳定的均衡关系。

For 30 years of reform and opening up China＇s economy has growthed rapidly. No doubt that the opening of economy pushed China＇s economy forward. In this paper, we used the method of Granger causality test and Johansen co-inte- gration test to analysis the relationship and balance of China＇s export trade, import trade, foreign direct investment to Chi- na＇s economic growth. We found that the export trade, import trade, foreign direct investment is the Granger reasons of China＇s economic growth. There is a stable and balanced relation among them.