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具有年龄结构的传染病SIR流行病模型的研究 被引量：2

A Study of AGE-Structured Model for Epiclemic Disease Model
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摘要 给出美国流感监测网络统计的2008年10月至2009年9月流感症状患者数在四个年龄段的分布,结合当前H1N1新型流感发病的特点,提出一年龄结构型的流感传播模型,讨论了这个模型的应用和优点. In this paper, we analyzed the age-structured reported incidence of influenza- like-illness during 2009 pandemic in the United States, and found that the incidence was concentrated in school age. We proposed an age-structured epidemic model, and discuss the applications of this model.
作者 苏蕊
机构地区 济宁医学院继续教育学院
出处 《数学的实践与认识》 CSCD 北大核心 2011年第6期140-143,共4页 Mathematics in Practice and Theory
关键词 S-I—R模型 年龄结构模型 新型H1N1 SIR epidemic model age-Structured model novel HIVI influenza
分类号 O242.1 [理学—计算数学]
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参考文献5

  • 1Kermemk W O, Mckendrick A G. Contribution to the mathematical theory of epidemics[J]. Proc Roy Soc A, 1927, 115: 700-721.
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同被引文献44

  • 1陈翠霞,王小龙,蒋太交,曹宗富,李天君,于磊,喻浴飞,蔡瑞琨,高华方,马旭.基于多源异构大数据挖掘的流感病毒防控预测预警平台构建研究[J].中国生物工程杂志,2020,0(1):109-115. 被引量：10
  • 2Russell CJ, Webster RG. The genesis of a pandemic influenza virus. Cell ,2005,123 ( 3 ) :368-371.
  • 3Belser JA, Bridges CB, Katz JM. Past, Present, and Possible Future Hu- man Infection with Influenza Virus A Subtype H7. Emerg Infect Dis, 2009,15 ( 6 ) : 859-865.
  • 4World Health Organization. Pandemic ( H1N1 ) 2009-update 112. http ://www. who. int/csr/dort/2010 08 06/en/index. html.
  • 5Lee V J, Lye DC, Wilder-Smith A. Combination strategies for pandemic influenza response-a systematic review of mathematical modeling stud- ies. BMC Medicine,2009,7:76.
  • 6Wu JT, Cowling BJ. The use of mathematical models to inform influen- za pandemic preparedness and response. Exp Biol Med ( Maywood ), 2011,236(8) :955-61.
  • 7Cruz-Pacheco G, Duran L, Esteva L, et al. Modelling of the influenza A ( H1 N1 ) v outbreak in Mexico city, April-May 2009, with control sani- tary measures. EUROSURVEILLANCE ,2009,14 ( 26 ) : 1-3.
  • 8Germann TC, Kadau K, Longini IM Jr, et al. Mitigation strategies for pandemic influenza in the United States. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. , 2006,103( 15 ) :5935-40.
  • 9Tracht SM, Valle SYD, Hyman JM. Mathematical Modeling of the Ef- fectiveness of Facemasks in Reducing the Spread of Novel Influenza A (H1N1). PLoSone,2010,5 (2) :1-12.
  • 10Longini IM Jr, Halloran ME, Nizam A, Yang Y. Containing pandemic influenza with antiviral agents. Am J Epidemiol,2004,159 (7) :623-33.

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数学的实践与认识
2011年 第6期

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