基于GM(1,1)灰色模型的高校大学生拖欠学费预测研究——以江西某高校为例(英文)

Grey prediction of college students' tuition defaulting based on GM(1,1) model:a case study in a university in Jiangxi Province

大学生拖欠学费已经成为高校中普遍存在的现象,严重影响了部分学校的正常教学和发展.通过对江西某高校2005—2009年拖欠学费的数据进行分析,建立了GM(1,1)灰色系统预测模型,运用灰色预测方法对该校2010年拖欠学费进行预测,其结果可为教育管理部门和高校管理部门解决大学生欠费问题提供依据.

The students＇ tuition defaulting has become a common phenomenon in college,affecting the normal teaching and development in some colleges and universities.In the article we construct a GM（1,1）model to predict the tuition defaulting situation in 2010 based on the tuition defaulting situation from 2005 to 2009 in a university in Jiangxi Province.The prediction result is valuable in that it might provide useful reference for the education management in colleges and universities.