劳动密集型出口经济、FDI与中国经济发展——对于中国式“荷兰病”的实证检验

Labor-intensive Export Economy,FDI and Chinese Economic Development:An Empirical Test on Chinese "Dutch Disease"

"荷兰病"并不仅仅局限于自然资源,也可能因任何一种造成外汇大量流入的事件所诱发。在对"荷兰病"和中国式"荷兰病"的相关文献进行分析的基础上,基于协同学原理计算了中国经济发展系统的有序度,并且运用加权最小二乘法对1990—2007年间劳动密集型出口经济、FDI依赖和中国经济发展系统有序度之间的关系进行了实证分析,以此来验证中国式"荷兰病"的存在性。回归结果显示,劳动密集型产品出口和外资流入促进了中国经济发展系统有序度的提高,中国式"荷兰病"效应目前并不存在。

＂Dutch disease＂ can not only be limited to natural resources,but also be induced by numerous inflows of foreign capital for any reason. Beginning with a summarization on relevant literatures of ＂Dutch disease＂ and Chinese ＂Dutch disease＂ ,the order degree of Chinese economic development system is calculated out based on the principle of Synergetic,and then using the technique of weighted least squares,an empirical analysis is carried out on the relationship between labor-intensive export economy,FDI dependence and the order degree of Chinese economic development system,so as to test the existence of Chinese ＂Dutch disease＂. The regression result shows that the export of labor-intensive products and the inflow of foreign capital increase Chinese economic development system＇s order degree. Therefore,Chinese ＂Dutch disease＂ effect does not exist at the present time.