2008年6月12—13日武江流域暴雨短时预报分析

Forecasting Analysis on Rainstorm of Wujiang River Basin In June 12-13, 2008

2008年6月10～13日，粤北武江流域出现强降水，造成了较大的人员伤亡和财产损失。本文运用地面和高空资料、自动站实测情况，利用多普勒雷达径向速度图和风廓线图资料与这次过程中中低空系统的切变线及低空急流做对比分析，得到了一些短时预报中有所启发的结论。

The Wujiang River basin in the north of Guangdong Province had a strong rainstorm from June 10 to June 13, 2008, which caused a serious flood and resulted in a great lost of human life and property. Base on surface observation data, high altitude detection data, the scale automatic weather stations data, the author analyzed the low-level shear and low-level jet, compared with the radial velocity picture and wind profile picture of the Doppler radar, and found some inspired conclusions in the short-term forecast.